Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has written a long essay about powerful AI. I haven’t even finished reading it and it has already blown my mind a few times over:
To summarize the above, my basic prediction is that AI-enabled biology and medicine will allow us to compress the progress that human biologists would have achieved over the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years. I’ll refer to this as the “compressed 21st century”: the idea that after powerful AI is developed, we will in a few years make all the progress in biology and medicine that we would have made in the whole 21st century.
He also addresses finding meaning in work. Many people are rightly concerned about AI replacing their work — and this concern combined with energy and climate issues fuel much of the pushback against AI — but this has never bothered me very much. There will always be tasks that only humans are best suited for.
On the question of meaning, I think it is very likely a mistake to believe that tasks you undertake are meaningless simply because an AI could do them better. Most people are not the best in the world at anything, and it doesn’t seem to bother them particularly much. Of course today they can still contribute through comparative advantage, and may derive meaning from the economic value they produce, but people also greatly enjoy activities that produce no economic value.
There is too much in the essay to even summarize. While it feels complementary to Sam Altman’s post, The Intelligence Age, Dario’s essay is much more detailed. Anthropic seems in good hands.
